Thursday, 9 of February of 2012

Uncertainty and the need for new role models

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uncertaintyWho is your role model? Or, more importantly, who are your role models in these uncertain times?

Wow, just think back to the good old days (the roaring 90s) when all we had to do was pick up another book about Jack Welch and apply “the GE way” to all of our problems.

Who now? Who can we use when things are so uncertain?

How about great explorers? Try Roald Amundsen. He was the Norwegian explorer who was the first to reach the South Pole on December 14, 1911. There was a lot of uncertainty about the terrain and the conditions he and his team would face. So he focused on some things that remained true and important no matter what – weight and warmth. For example, while waiting for the “good” weather he spent time shaving down the sleds and wooden boxes to get them as light as possible. He also spent time tending the sled dogs who would carry him to the pole. Think about your business. What DO you know during these uncertain times? You obviously know you have to keep costs under control. Do you also know that you will need new and better talent? Should you get rid of people to reduce costs or should you take this “downtime” to improve the capabilities of your team? Think like an explorer.

How about great detectives from our fictional past, the heroes of our who-done-its. We’ve all read about Sherlock Holmes but I prefer to think a bit more recent and consider the fictional Nero Wolfe. No action hero here – he’s big and fat. But he certainly sees the clues that others miss and comes up with unique ways to solve the crime. What are the clues that you need to connect to make some sense out of uncertainty? What scenarios could you construct and put into mental competition as you plan for the future. Think like a detective.

How about great scientists? Thomas Edison had great drive and a willingness to experiment and, most importantly, to use failures to rebuild and rerun experiments. He failed in the quest for a light bulb thousands of times as he dealt with uncertain properties of materials and how they would react with electric current. He also thought BIG – the light bulb was part of the electric system he had conceived. Scientists take it for granted that experimentation and failure are part of their daily life. Too many business people hold off until they are sure something is going to work. Maybe you should think like a scientist?

So, here are some of my role models during uncertain times. Who do you look to for guidance and inspiration?


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Brad ShorrNo Gravatar

in August 7th, 2009 @ 06:13

Hi Bill, You have some great role models there! I’ve read a little about Amundsen’s explorations, and it’s quite something.

One of my role models is G.K. Chesterton. He was a brilliant, early 20th century essayist, journalist, poet, and fiction writer who wrote voluminously on politics, society, history, theology, and the human condition. I admire him for his writing skill, his versatility , his flawless reasoning, his intellectual integrity, and his cheery disposition – even his philosophical enemies (who included the likes of G.B. Shaw) respected and liked him.
.-= Brad Shorr´s last blog ..10 Great Twitter Follows =-.


Bill WelterNo Gravatar

in August 7th, 2009 @ 18:14

Brad,
Thanks. I have alomost no knowledge of Chesterton and not you’ve given me a research project.
Bill


Fred H SchlegelNo Gravatar

in August 10th, 2009 @ 08:20

I really like your idea of looking at the lives of role models for inspiration. Amundsen’s focus on fundamentals is a great example of what businesses can be doing today. We know the various portions of the economy are going to lift off over the next couple of years, possibly very unexpectedly. The impact of the ‘cash for clunkers’ program, for example, suddenly had dealers working at over capacity dealing with spike in demand. Those that didn’t have salesfolks, inventory and a gameplan in place missed out. The idea that one shouldn’t be sitting around surviving, but should be planning and working on the next generation of products and services can be powerful.
.-= Fred H Schlegel´s last blog ..Fear and Loathing In Las Healthcare =-.


kay plantesNo Gravatar

in August 12th, 2009 @ 09:55

There was a great editorial I think in the WSJ about how our role models have shifted from the right-stuff astronauts to cultural icons like Michael Jackson and sports stars. Reading the editorial was the first time I became concerned about American values. My heroes of people who speak truth to power, so essential to our democracy, and who innovate to the benefit of the greater good (so count out the derivative people and count in Steve Jobs and BIll Gates and the social entrepreneurs transforming our world). The US has not increased private sector jobs despite an increase in our population since 2000. The resulting unemployment situation has never been worse, especially for our youth, in the last 50 years. We need national heroes in science and technology if we’re to get out of our economic mess. Best regards, Kay
.-= kay plantes´s last blog ..The Uncertain Consumer =-.


Bill WelterNo Gravatar

in August 20th, 2009 @ 15:24

Kay,
Sorry for the delay in getting back to you.
I agree wholeheartedly. We need role models who contribute to society, not just entertain us.


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Creative Response To The Uncertainty Paradox | Frog Blog

[...] can we find role models for such preparation? Bill Welter’s post at Adaptive Strategies on? how the explorer Rould Amundsen dealt with the uncertain conditions of his quest to the South [...]